Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 38.05%. A win for Dundee United had a probability of 35.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Dundee United win was 0-1 (9.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
