Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 30

Feb 27, 2021 at 3pm UK

Rugby Park

Kilmarnock
1 - 1
Dundee Utd

Medley (64')
Kiltie (38')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Sporle (18')
Fuchs (45'), Smith (67'), Connolly (71'), Harkes (86')

Tommy Wright lavishes praise on Zech Medley

Tommy Wright frustrated with "poor decision" in Dundee United draw

The Match

Match Report

Adrian Sporle netted the opener for Dundee United after Zech Medley had lost possession deep inside his half.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Kilmarnock and Dundee United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 38.05%. A win for Dundee United had a probability of 35.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Dundee United win was 0-1 (9.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result
Kilmarnock	Draw	Dundee United
38.05%	26.49%	35.45%

Both teams to score 52.52%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.67%

52.33%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.98%

74.02%

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.23%

26.76%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.95%

62.04%

Dundee United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.71%

28.29%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.99%

64.01%

Score Analysis

Kilmarnock 38.05%

Dundee United 35.45%

Draw 26.49%

Kilmarnock	Draw	Dundee United
1-0 @ 9.98% 2-1 @ 8.31% 2-0 @ 6.58% 3-1 @ 3.65% 3-0 @ 2.89% 3-2 @ 2.3% 4-1 @ 1.2% 4-0 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.19% Total : 38.05%	1-1 @ 12.6% 0-0 @ 7.57% 2-2 @ 5.24% 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.49%	0-1 @ 9.56% 1-2 @ 7.96% 0-2 @ 6.04% 1-3 @ 3.35% 0-3 @ 2.54% 2-3 @ 2.21% 1-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.74% Total : 35.45%