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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 33
Feb 20, 2021 at 3pm UK
Pittodrie Stadium
KL

Aberdeen
1 - 0
Kilmarnock

Hendry (21')
McGinn (51')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Dabo (40'), McGowan (62')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 55.25%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 20.13%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.81%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%), while for a Kilmarnock win it was 0-1 (7.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Aberdeen in this match.

Result
AberdeenDrawKilmarnock
55.25%24.61%20.13%
Both teams to score 47.12%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.05%53.95%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.6%75.4%
Aberdeen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.55%19.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.7%51.3%
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.5%41.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22%77.99%
Score Analysis
    Aberdeen 55.24%
    Kilmarnock 20.13%
    Draw 24.61%
AberdeenDrawKilmarnock
1-0 @ 13.21%
2-0 @ 10.81%
2-1 @ 9.52%
3-0 @ 5.9%
3-1 @ 5.19%
4-0 @ 2.42%
3-2 @ 2.28%
4-1 @ 2.13%
4-2 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 55.24%
1-1 @ 11.62%
0-0 @ 8.07%
2-2 @ 4.19%
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 24.61%
0-1 @ 7.1%
1-2 @ 5.11%
0-2 @ 3.12%
1-3 @ 1.5%
2-3 @ 1.23%
0-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.16%
Total : 20.13%

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