SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win with a probability of 48.15%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 28.53% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.15%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 1-2 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic | Draw | Arbroath |
48.15% ( -0.28) | 23.31% ( 0.02) | 28.53% ( 0.26) |
| Both teams to score 60.51% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.32% ( 0.07) | 40.67% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.94% ( 0.07) | 63.05% ( -0.07) |
| Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.87% ( -0.08) | 17.13% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.65% ( -0.14) | 47.35% ( 0.14) |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.01% ( 0.21) | 26.98% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.67% ( 0.27) | 62.33% ( -0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic | Draw | Arbroath |
| 2-1 @ 9.42% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.15% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 7.19% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 5.54% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 4.23% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.63% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.45% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.87% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.6% ( -0)Other @ 4.06% Total : 48.15% | 1-1 @ 10.68% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.17% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.62% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.31% | 1-2 @ 7% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 6.05% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.97% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.06% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.04% Total : 28.53% |
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