SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 79.9%. A draw had a probability of 13.3% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 6.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.44%) and 1-0 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.34%), while for an Arbroath win it was 0-1 (2.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Arbroath |
79.9% ( 6.18) | 13.34% ( -2.84) | 6.76% ( -3.34) |
| Both teams to score 44.43% ( -5.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.12% ( 1.73) | 35.88% ( -1.72) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.03% ( 1.88) | 57.97% ( -1.87) |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.96% ( 1.73) | 7.04% ( -1.73) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 74.27% ( 4.39) | 25.73% ( -4.39) |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 47.79% ( -6.59) | 52.2% ( 6.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 13.86% ( -4.72) | 86.14% ( 4.72) |
| Score Analysis |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Arbroath |
| 2-0 @ 12.94% ( 1.1) 3-0 @ 11.44% ( 1.83)1-0 @ 9.76% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 8.41% ( -0.89)4-0 @ 7.59% ( 1.74)3-1 @ 7.44% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 4.93% ( 0.34)5-0 @ 4.03% ( 1.18)5-1 @ 2.62% ( 0.38)3-2 @ 2.42% ( -0.54)6-0 @ 1.78% ( 0.63)4-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.2)6-1 @ 1.16% ( 0.25)Other @ 3.78% Total : 79.89% | 1-1 @ 6.34% ( -1.3) 0-0 @ 3.68% ( -0.32)2-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.92)Other @ 0.58% Total : 13.34% | 0-1 @ 2.39% ( -0.75) 1-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.94)Other @ 2.31% Total : 6.76% |
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