SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartans win with a probability of 37.33%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 36.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartans win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.33%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 0-1 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Spartans | Draw | Dumbarton |
37.33% ( -0.51) | 26.23% ( 0.04) | 36.43% ( 0.47) |
| Both teams to score 53.45% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.82% ( -0.16) | 51.17% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.98% ( -0.14) | 73.02% ( 0.14) |
| Spartans Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.37% ( -0.36) | 26.63% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.13% ( -0.48) | 61.87% ( 0.48) |
| Dumbarton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.85% ( 0.2) | 27.15% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.45% ( 0.26) | 62.55% ( -0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Spartans | Draw | Dumbarton |
| 1-0 @ 9.57% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.25% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 6.33% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 3.64% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 2.79% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.37% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.26% Total : 37.33% | 1-1 @ 12.47% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.23% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.23% | 0-1 @ 9.43% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 8.13% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 6.15% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 3.53% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 2.67% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.03% Total : 36.43% |
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