Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartans win with a probability of 37.33%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 36.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spartans win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.33%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 0-1 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Spartans	Draw	Dumbarton
37.33% ( -0.51)	26.23% ( 0.04)	36.43% ( 0.47)

Both teams to score 53.45% (

-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.82% (

-0.16)

51.17% (

0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.98% (

-0.14)

73.02% (

0.14)

Spartans Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.37% (

-0.36)

26.63% (

0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.13% (

-0.48)

61.87% (

0.48)

Dumbarton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.85% (

0.2)

27.15% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.45% (

0.26)

62.55% (

-0.26)

Score Analysis

Spartans 37.33%

Dumbarton 36.43%

Draw 26.23%

Spartans	Draw	Dumbarton
1-0 @ 9.57% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.25% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 6.33% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 3.64% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 2.79% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.37% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.26% Total : 37.33%	1-1 @ 12.47% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.23% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.23%	0-1 @ 9.43% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 8.13% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 6.15% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 3.53% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.67% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.03% Total : 36.43%