Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterhead win with a probability of 38.38%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 36.7% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterhead win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.23%) and 2-0 (5.99%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 1-2 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Peterhead in this match.

Result
Peterhead	Draw	Dumbarton
38.38% ( -0.36)	24.91% ( 0.01)	36.7% ( 0.35)

Both teams to score 58.07% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.75% (

-0.03)

45.25% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.41% (

-0.02)

67.59% (

0.02)

Peterhead Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.65% (

-0.2)

23.35% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.69% (

-0.29)

57.31% (

0.29)

Dumbarton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.76% (

0.18)

24.24% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.41% (

0.25)

58.59% (

-0.25)

Score Analysis

Peterhead 38.38%

Dumbarton 36.7%

Draw 24.9%

Peterhead	Draw	Dumbarton
2-1 @ 8.49% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 8.23% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 5.99% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 4.12% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.9% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.13% Total : 38.38%	1-1 @ 11.66% 2-2 @ 6.01% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.66% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.9%	1-2 @ 8.27% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 8.02% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 5.68% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 3.91% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.69% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.38% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.96% Total : 36.7%