Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 43.64%. A win for Spartans had a probability of 30.38% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Spartans win was 0-1 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dumbarton would win this match.
