Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 44.3%. A win for Elgin City had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.85%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Elgin City win was 2-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arbroath would win this match.
