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A
Scottish Championship | Gameweek 25
Apr 17, 2021 at 12pm UK
Gayfield Park
AU

Arbroath
4 - 0
Ayr

Little (11'), Williamson (24'), Hamilton (27'), Hilson (65')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Miller (31'), Muirhead (34')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 42.53%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 31.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 0-1 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arbroath would win this match.

Result
ArbroathDrawAyr United
42.53%26.22%31.25%
Both teams to score 52.33%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.91%52.09%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.18%73.82%
Arbroath Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.72%24.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.35%58.65%
Ayr United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.11%30.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.82%67.18%
Score Analysis
    Arbroath 42.52%
    Ayr United 31.25%
    Draw 26.22%
ArbroathDrawAyr United
1-0 @ 10.61%
2-1 @ 8.83%
2-0 @ 7.51%
3-1 @ 4.16%
3-0 @ 3.55%
3-2 @ 2.45%
4-1 @ 1.47%
4-0 @ 1.26%
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 42.52%
1-1 @ 12.47%
0-0 @ 7.5%
2-2 @ 5.18%
3-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.22%
0-1 @ 8.81%
1-2 @ 7.33%
0-2 @ 5.18%
1-3 @ 2.87%
2-3 @ 2.03%
0-3 @ 2.03%
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 31.25%

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