Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 55.33%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for East Fife had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.3%), while for a East Fife win it was 0-1 (6.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arbroath would win this match.
