Dunfermline
4 - 3
Arbroath

McManus (10' pen.), O'Hara (15'), Wighton (57', 75')
Henderson (34'), Whittaker (61')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Hamilton (33'), Low (35' pen.), Stewart (82')
Little (52')

Data Analysis

The Match

Match Report

The former Hearts striker proved to be the match-winner at East End Park.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 57.43%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 19.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.9%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for an Arbroath win it was 0-1 (6.42%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dunfermline Athletic would win this match.

Result
Dunfermline Athletic	Draw	Arbroath
57.43%	23.53%	19.04%

Both teams to score 48.58%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.88%

51.12%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.03%

72.97%

Dunfermline Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.42%

17.58%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.87%

48.13%

Arbroath Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.94%

41.06%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.39%

77.61%

Score Analysis

Dunfermline Athletic 57.42%

Arbroath 19.04%

Draw 23.52%

Dunfermline Athletic	Draw	Arbroath
1-0 @ 12.54% 2-0 @ 10.9% 2-1 @ 9.71% 3-0 @ 6.32% 3-1 @ 5.63% 4-0 @ 2.75% 3-2 @ 2.51% 4-1 @ 2.45% 4-2 @ 1.09% 5-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.57% Total : 57.42%	1-1 @ 11.16% 0-0 @ 7.22% 2-2 @ 4.32% Other @ 0.82% Total : 23.52%	0-1 @ 6.42% 1-2 @ 4.97% 0-2 @ 2.86% 1-3 @ 1.48% 2-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 2.03% Total : 19.04%