SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee United win with a probability of 60.83%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 17.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.58%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.22%), while for an Ayr United win it was 0-1 (5.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Dundee United in this match.
| Result | ||
| Dundee United | Draw | Ayr United |
60.83% ( 0.08) | 21.55% ( -0.05) | 17.62% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 52.14% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.95% ( 0.16) | 45.04% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.61% ( 0.15) | 67.39% ( -0.15) |
| Dundee United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.66% ( 0.07) | 14.33% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.82% ( 0.15) | 42.18% ( -0.15) |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.87% ( 0.06) | 39.13% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.15% ( 0.05) | 75.84% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dundee United | Draw | Ayr United |
| 1-0 @ 10.89% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 10.58% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.85% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.43% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 3.33% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.12% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.02% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.47% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.29% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.71% Total : 60.82% | 1-1 @ 10.22% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.61% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 4.66% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.55% | 0-1 @ 5.26% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 4.8% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.5% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.13% Total : 17.62% |
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