Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 38.45%. A win for Dundee United had a probability of 34% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Dundee United win was 0-1 (10.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Ayr United | Draw | Dundee United |
38.45% ( 0.13) | 27.54% ( -0) | 34% ( -0.12) |
Both teams to score 49.02% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.34% ( -0) | 56.66% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.38% ( -0) | 77.62% ( 0) |
Ayr United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.4% ( 0.07) | 28.59% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.61% ( 0.09) | 64.39% ( -0.09) |
Dundee United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.65% ( -0.08) | 31.35% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.28% ( -0.09) | 67.71% ( 0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Ayr United | Draw | Dundee United |
1-0 @ 11.22% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.15% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.03% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.4% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.93% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.97% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.77% Total : 38.45% | 1-1 @ 13.01% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.96% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.73% ( -0) Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.54% | 0-1 @ 10.39% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.55% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.03% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.92% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.94% Total : 33.99% |
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