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Scottish Championship | Gameweek 3
Aug 26, 2023 at 3pm UK
Somerset Park
DU

Ayr
0 - 3
Dundee Utd


Musonda (12')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Holt (58', 90'), Moult (62')
Holt (65'), Glass (76')
Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Ayr United and Dundee United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Livingston 2-0 Ayr
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 38.45%. A win for Dundee United had a probability of 34% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Dundee United win was 0-1 (10.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.

Result
Ayr UnitedDrawDundee United
38.45% (0.125 0.13) 27.54% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 34% (-0.121 -0.12)
Both teams to score 49.02% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.34% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)56.66% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.38% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)77.62% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Ayr United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.4% (0.072000000000003 0.07)28.59% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.61% (0.088999999999999 0.09)64.39% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Dundee United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.65% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)31.35% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.28% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)67.71% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Ayr United 38.45%
    Dundee United 33.99%
    Draw 27.54%
Ayr UnitedDrawDundee United
1-0 @ 11.22% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.15% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.03% (0.028 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.4% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.93% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.97% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.06% (0.006 0.01)
4-0 @ 0.92% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 38.45%
1-1 @ 13.01% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.96% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-2 @ 4.73% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 27.54%
0-1 @ 10.39% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 7.55% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.03% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.92% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.33% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.83% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 33.99%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Livingston 2-0 Ayr
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Ayr 1-0 Inverness
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Morton 3-1 Ayr
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Ayr 6-0 Alloa
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: St Johnstone 1-2 Ayr
Tuesday, July 25 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Ayr 1-0 Stenhousemuir
Tuesday, July 18 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Dundee Utd 1-1 Dunfermline
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Arbroath 0-4 Dundee Utd
Friday, August 4 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Falkirk 0-1 Dundee Utd
Tuesday, July 25 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Dundee Utd 3-0 Peterhead
Saturday, July 22 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Dundee Utd 1-2 Partick
Tuesday, July 18 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Spartans 1-0 Dundee Utd
Saturday, July 15 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup


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