Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stenhousemuir win with a probability of 43.85%. A win for Stranraer had a probability of 30.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stenhousemuir win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.99%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Stranraer win was 1-0 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Stranraer	Draw	Stenhousemuir
30.24% ( -0.38)	25.91% ( 0.25)	43.85% ( 0.12)

Both teams to score 52.84% (

-0.99)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.79% (

-1.2)

51.21% (

1.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.95% (

-1.06)

73.05% (

1.06)

Stranraer Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.84% (

-0.87)

31.15% (

0.87)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.51% (

-1.03)

67.49% (

1.03)

Stenhousemuir Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.75% (

-0.46)

23.25% (

0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.83% (

-0.67)

57.16% (

0.67)

Score Analysis

Stranraer 30.24%

Stenhousemuir 43.84%

Draw 25.91%

Stranraer	Draw	Stenhousemuir
1-0 @ 8.45% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 7.19% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 4.93% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.79% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 1.92% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.93% Total : 30.24%	1-1 @ 12.32% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 7.24% ( 0.34) 2-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.14) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.91%	0-1 @ 10.56% ( 0.36) 1-2 @ 8.99% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 7.71% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 4.37% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 3.75% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.11) 1-4 @ 1.6% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 1.37% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.02% Total : 43.84%