SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stenhousemuir win with a probability of 43.85%. A win for Stranraer had a probability of 30.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stenhousemuir win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.99%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Stranraer win was 1-0 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stranraer | Draw | Stenhousemuir |
30.24% ( -0.38) | 25.91% ( 0.25) | 43.85% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 52.84% ( -0.99) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.79% ( -1.2) | 51.21% ( 1.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.95% ( -1.06) | 73.05% ( 1.06) |
| Stranraer Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.84% ( -0.87) | 31.15% ( 0.87) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.51% ( -1.03) | 67.49% ( 1.03) |
| Stenhousemuir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.75% ( -0.46) | 23.25% ( 0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.83% ( -0.67) | 57.16% ( 0.67) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stranraer | Draw | Stenhousemuir |
| 1-0 @ 8.45% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 7.19% ( -0.1)2-0 @ 4.93% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.79% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 1.92% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.93% Total : 30.24% | 1-1 @ 12.32% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 7.24% ( 0.34)2-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.14)3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.91% | 0-1 @ 10.56% ( 0.36) 1-2 @ 8.99% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 7.71% ( 0.16)1-3 @ 4.37% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 3.75% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.11)1-4 @ 1.6% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 1.37% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.02% Total : 43.84% |
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