Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stenhousemuir win with a probability of 55.73%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Elgin City had a probability of 21.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stenhousemuir win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Elgin City win it was 0-1 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
-0.01) 
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