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Scottish League Cup | Group Stage
Jul 13, 2024 at 3pm UK
Ochilview Park

Stenhousemuir
4 - 0
Buckie Thistle

Aitken (19'), Taylor (41'), Anderson (59', 69')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Munro (16'), McKay (37'), Pugh (46')
Coverage of the Scottish League Cup Group Stage clash between Stenhousemuir and Buckie Thistle.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stranraer 2-0 Stenhousemuir
Saturday, May 4 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Celtic 5-0 Buckie Thistle
Sunday, January 21 at 4pm in Scottish Cup
TeamGoals scoredAvg per gameTop scorer
1Alloa0nan
2Annan0nan
3Arbroath0nan
4Cove Rangers0nan
5Dumbarton0nan
6Inverness0nan
7Kelty Hearts0nan
8Montrose0nan
9QotS0nan
10Stenhousemuir0nan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stenhousemuir win with a probability of 46.53%. A win for Buckie Thistle had a probability of 28.37% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stenhousemuir win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Buckie Thistle win was 0-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stenhousemuir would win this match.

Result
StenhousemuirDrawBuckie Thistle
46.53% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07) 25.1% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01) 28.37% (0.084 0.08)
Both teams to score 54.33% (0.093000000000004 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.24% (0.094999999999999 0.09)48.76% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.14% (0.085000000000001 0.09)70.86% (-0.085000000000008 -0.09)
Stenhousemuir Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.02% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)20.98% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.25% (0.011000000000003 0.01)53.75% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Buckie Thistle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.76% (0.114 0.11)31.24% (-0.112 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.41% (0.129 0.13)67.59% (-0.129 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Stenhousemuir 46.52%
    Buckie Thistle 28.37%
    Draw 25.09%
StenhousemuirDrawBuckie Thistle
1-0 @ 10.23% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.3% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 7.99% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.84% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 4.16% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.82% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.89%
4-0 @ 1.62% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.1% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 46.52%
1-1 @ 11.9% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.56% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.41% (0.014 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.09% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.09%
0-1 @ 7.63% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.93% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.44% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.69% (0.015 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.1% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.72% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 28.37%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Stranraer 2-0 Stenhousemuir
Saturday, May 4 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Stenhousemuir 1-1 Bonnyrigg Rose
Saturday, April 27 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Clyde 2-2 Stenhousemuir
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Stenhousemuir 1-1 Elgin
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Stenhousemuir 0-0 East Fife
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Dumbarton 0-0 Stenhousemuir
Saturday, March 30 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Celtic 5-0 Buckie Thistle
Sunday, January 21 at 4pm in Scottish Cup
Last Game: Dundee U21s 4-0 Buckie Thistle
Wednesday, August 2 at 8pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: Buckie Thistle 1-2 Linfield
Saturday, September 24 at 3pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: Buckie Thistle 1-1 Brora Rangers (4-2 pen.)
Wednesday, August 24 at 8pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: Hearts U21s 2-3 Buckie Thistle
Wednesday, August 10 at 8pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: East Fife 3-2 Buckie Thistle
Tuesday, July 19 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup


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