SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 39.53%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 34.84% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (6.55%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Dundee would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dundee | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
39.53% ( -0.01) | 25.63% ( 0) | 34.84% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 55.32% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.29% ( 0) | 48.7% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.18% ( 0) | 70.81% ( -0) |
| Dundee Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.69% ( -0) | 24.3% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.32% ( -0) | 58.68% ( 0) |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.08% ( 0) | 26.92% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.75% ( 0.01) | 62.24% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dundee | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
| 1-0 @ 9.25% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.59% 2-0 @ 6.55% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.05% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.09% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.66% 4-1 @ 1.43% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.09% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.88% Total : 39.53% | 1-1 @ 12.14% 0-0 @ 6.54% 2-2 @ 5.64% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.63% | 0-1 @ 8.59% 1-2 @ 7.97% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.63% 1-3 @ 3.49% 2-3 @ 2.47% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.46% 1-4 @ 1.14% ( 0)Other @ 3.09% Total : 34.84% |
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