Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 9

Sep 26, 2020 at 3pm UK

St Mirren Park

St Mirren
0 - 1
Kilmarnock

Foley (43'), Fraser (56'), Morias (83'), Sheron (84'), McCarthy (87')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Kabamba (28')

Jim Goodwin bemoans St Mirren luck after fifth straight defeat

Kilmarnock manager Alex Dyer pays tribute to Nicke Kabamba

The Match

Match Report

The in-form striker was included in DR Congo's squad for the first time this week.

Team News

Tait begins a two-match suspension for his red card against Dundee United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 41.03%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 30.25% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.09%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (10.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.

Result
St Mirren	Draw	Kilmarnock
41.03%	28.71%	30.25%

Both teams to score 44.69%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.41%

61.58%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.57%

81.43%

St Mirren Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.5%

29.5%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.48%

65.51%

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.39%

36.6%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.61%

73.39%

Score Analysis

St Mirren 41.03%

Kilmarnock 30.25%

Draw 28.69%

St Mirren	Draw	Kilmarnock
1-0 @ 13.18% 2-1 @ 8.09% 2-0 @ 8.05% 3-1 @ 3.29% 3-0 @ 3.27% 3-2 @ 1.65% 4-1 @ 1% 4-0 @ 1% Other @ 1.5% Total : 41.03%	1-1 @ 13.24% 0-0 @ 10.79% 2-2 @ 4.06% Other @ 0.6% Total : 28.69%	0-1 @ 10.85% 1-2 @ 6.66% 0-2 @ 5.45% 1-3 @ 2.23% 0-3 @ 1.83% 2-3 @ 1.36% Other @ 1.87% Total : 30.25%