Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 44.98%. A win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 28.79% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (8.18%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win was 1-0 (8.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Hamilton Academical in this match.
