Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 42.99%. A win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 29.86% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (8.04%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win was 1-0 (9.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle in this match.
