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Scottish League Cup | Group Stage
Jul 9, 2022 at 3pm UK
Cappielow Park
F

Morton
0 - 0
Falkirk

Falkirk win 5-4 on penalties

King (61'), Blues (89')
Quitongo (45+1')
FT

McKay (73'), McGinn (77')
Henderson (53')
Coverage of the Scottish League Cup Group Stage clash between Greenock Morton and Falkirk.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Queen's Park 1-1 Falkirk
Saturday, April 30 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 42.73%. A win for Falkirk had a probability of 31.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Falkirk win was 0-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
Greenock MortonDrawFalkirk
42.73% (0.025999999999996 0.03) 25.62% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 31.64% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 54.41% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.54% (0.020000000000003 0.02)49.46% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.5% (0.016999999999999 0.02)71.49% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Greenock Morton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.97% (0.019999999999996 0.02)23.03% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.16% (0.030999999999999 0.03)56.84% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Falkirk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.69% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)29.3% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.73% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)65.27% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Greenock Morton 42.73%
    Falkirk 31.64%
    Draw 25.62%
Greenock MortonDrawFalkirk
1-0 @ 9.91% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-1 @ 8.93% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 7.28% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 4.37% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 3.56% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.68% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.61% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.31% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 0.99% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 42.73%
1-1 @ 12.16%
0-0 @ 6.75% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.48% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.1% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.62%
0-1 @ 8.28% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 5.08% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.06% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.24%
0-3 @ 2.08% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-4 @ 0.94% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 31.64%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Arbroath 3-0 Morton
Friday, April 29 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Morton 0-1 Inverness
Saturday, April 23 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Morton 0-1 Hamilton
Saturday, April 16 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Raith Rovers 0-1 Morton
Saturday, April 9 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Morton 1-1 Kilmarnock
Friday, April 1 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Morton 1-1 Ayr
Saturday, March 26 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Queen's Park 1-1 Falkirk
Saturday, April 30 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Falkirk 1-2 Alloa
Saturday, April 23 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: East Fife 1-3 Falkirk
Saturday, April 16 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Falkirk 0-2 Cove Rangers
Saturday, April 9 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Falkirk 0-3 Montrose
Saturday, April 2 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Peterhead 1-0 Falkirk
Saturday, March 26 at 3pm in Scottish League One


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