SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 45.14%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 29.75% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arbroath | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
45.14% ( -0.02) | 25.11% ( 0.01) | 29.75% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 55.16% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.94% ( -0.04) | 48.06% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.77% ( -0.04) | 70.23% ( 0.03) |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.69% ( -0.03) | 21.31% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.74% ( -0.04) | 54.25% ( 0.03) |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.1% ( -0.01) | 29.89% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.01% ( -0.01) | 65.99% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arbroath | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
| 1-0 @ 9.85% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.19% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.61% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.74% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.92% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.86% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.83% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.52% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0)Other @ 2.52% Total : 45.14% | 1-1 @ 11.89% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.37% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.55% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.11% | 0-1 @ 7.69% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.18% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.64% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.89% 2-3 @ 2.23% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.87% ( 0)Other @ 3.24% Total : 29.75% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
