SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 53.99%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for an Arbroath win it was 0-1 (6.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Arbroath |
53.99% ( -0.23) | 23.91% ( 0.11) | 22.1% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 51.9% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51% ( -0.34) | 48.99% ( 0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.92% ( -0.31) | 71.07% ( 0.31) |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.94% ( -0.21) | 18.05% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.04% ( -0.37) | 48.96% ( 0.37) |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.33% ( -0.08) | 36.66% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.55% ( -0.07) | 73.45% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Arbroath |
| 1-0 @ 11.33% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.73% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 9.7% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.55% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 5.53% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.38% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 2.37% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.42% Total : 53.99% | 1-1 @ 11.36% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.62% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.9% | 0-1 @ 6.64% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 5.7% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.33% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.91% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.76% Total : 22.1% |
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