SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 38.79%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 35.23% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.47%) and 0-2 (6.53%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 1-0 (8.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arbroath | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
35.23% ( -0.09) | 25.97% ( -0.01) | 38.79% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 54.22% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.85% ( 0.02) | 50.14% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.89% ( 0.02) | 72.11% ( -0.03) |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.63% ( -0.04) | 27.37% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.16% ( -0.06) | 62.83% ( 0.05) |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.65% ( 0.06) | 25.35% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.86% ( 0.09) | 60.14% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arbroath | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
| 1-0 @ 8.99% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.99% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.82% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.45% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.52% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.37% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.12% ( -0)Other @ 2.97% Total : 35.23% | 1-1 @ 12.33% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.94% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.49% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.97% | 0-1 @ 9.52% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.47% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.53% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.87% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.99% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.51% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.33% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.54% Total : 38.79% |
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