SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Falkirk | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Kelty Hearts | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Montrose | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Albion Rovers | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Annan Athletic | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 59.44%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Albion Rovers had a probability of 18.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.38%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.45%), while for an Albion Rovers win it was 0-1 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Albion Rovers |
59.44% ( 0.08) | 22.03% ( -0.04) | 18.53% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 52.3% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.3% ( 0.13) | 45.7% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.98% ( 0.12) | 68.02% ( -0.12) |
| Kelty Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.01% ( 0.07) | 14.99% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.55% ( 0.13) | 43.45% ( -0.13) |
| Albion Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.52% ( 0.03) | 38.48% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.78% ( 0.03) | 75.22% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Albion Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 10.94% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 10.38% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.92% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.57% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.27% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 3.12% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.98% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.42% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.52% Total : 59.42% | 1-1 @ 10.45% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.77% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.74% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.03% | 0-1 @ 5.51% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 4.99% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.59% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.51% ( 0)Other @ 2.3% Total : 18.53% |
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