Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stenhousemuir win with a probability of 45.94%. A win for Albion Rovers had a probability of 28.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stenhousemuir win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Albion Rovers win was 0-1 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stenhousemuir would win this match.
