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Scottish League Cup | Second Round
Aug 14, 2021 at 3pm UK
Tony Macaroni Arena
SM

Livingston
1 - 1
St Mirren

Livingston win 4-3 on penalties
Forrest (41')
Holt (45+3'), Bailey (57'), Pittman (64'), Jacobs (120+4')
FT
(aet)
McCarthy (82')
Shaughnessy (47')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 36.94%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 35.98% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.06%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 0-1 (10.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%).

Result
LivingstonDrawSt Mirren
36.94%27.09%35.98%
Both teams to score 50.63%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.28%54.72%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.96%76.04%
Livingston Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.45%28.55%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.66%64.34%
St Mirren Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.87%29.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.94%65.06%
Score Analysis
    Livingston 36.93%
    St Mirren 35.97%
    Draw 27.08%
LivingstonDrawSt Mirren
1-0 @ 10.42%
2-1 @ 8.06%
2-0 @ 6.53%
3-1 @ 3.37%
3-0 @ 2.73%
3-2 @ 2.08%
4-1 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 36.93%
1-1 @ 12.85%
0-0 @ 8.32%
2-2 @ 4.97%
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 27.08%
0-1 @ 10.25%
1-2 @ 7.93%
0-2 @ 6.33%
1-3 @ 3.26%
0-3 @ 2.6%
2-3 @ 2.04%
1-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 35.97%

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