SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 76.64%. A draw had a probability of 14.1% and a win for Peterhead had a probability of 9.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.27%) and 2-1 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.41%), while for a Peterhead win it was 1-2 (2.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kelty Hearts would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Peterhead |
76.64% ( 0.01) | 14.11% ( -0) | 9.24% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 54.47% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.13% ( -0.01) | 29.87% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.97% ( -0.01) | 51.03% ( 0.01) |
| Kelty Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.61% ( -0) | 6.38% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 76.04% ( -0) | 23.95% ( 0) |
| Peterhead Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.19% ( -0.02) | 41.81% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.73% ( -0.02) | 78.27% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Peterhead |
| 2-0 @ 10.1% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 9.27% ( 0)2-1 @ 8.81% 3-1 @ 8.08% 1-0 @ 7.35% ( 0)4-0 @ 6.37% ( 0)4-1 @ 5.56% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.52% ( -0)5-0 @ 3.51% ( 0)5-1 @ 3.06% 4-2 @ 2.42% ( -0)6-0 @ 1.61% ( 0)6-1 @ 1.4% 5-2 @ 1.33% ( -0)Other @ 4.26% Total : 76.64% | 1-1 @ 6.41% 2-2 @ 3.84% ( -0)0-0 @ 2.67% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 14.11% | 1-2 @ 2.79% ( -0) 0-1 @ 2.33% 2-3 @ 1.12% ( -0)0-2 @ 1.02% ( -0)Other @ 1.99% Total : 9.24% |
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