SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 76%. A draw had a probability of 14% and a win for Peterhead had a probability of 9.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 2-0 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 3-0 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.11%), while for a Peterhead win it was 1-2 (2.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montrose would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Montrose | Draw | Peterhead |
76% ( -1.95) | 14.03% ( 0.96) | 9.97% ( 0.99) |
| Both teams to score 58.27% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 73.16% ( -1.72) | 26.84% ( 1.73) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 52.72% ( -2.22) | 47.28% ( 2.22) |
| Montrose Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.15% ( -0.68) | 5.85% ( 0.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 77.54% ( -1.97) | 22.46% ( 1.97) |
| Peterhead Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.89% ( 0.53) | 38.11% ( -0.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.12% ( 0.51) | 74.88% ( -0.51) |
| Score Analysis |
| Montrose | Draw | Peterhead |
| 2-0 @ 8.98% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 8.67% ( 0.33)3-0 @ 8.5% ( -0.16)3-1 @ 8.2% ( -0.03)1-0 @ 6.33% ( 0.41)4-0 @ 6.03% ( -0.38)4-1 @ 5.82% ( -0.28)3-2 @ 3.96% ( 0.04)5-0 @ 3.43% ( -0.37)5-1 @ 3.3% ( -0.31)4-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.09)6-0 @ 1.62% ( -0.26)5-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.12)6-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.22)4-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.02)Other @ 4.3% Total : 76% | 1-1 @ 6.11% ( 0.48) 2-2 @ 4.18% ( 0.22)0-0 @ 2.23% ( 0.23)3-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.24% Total : 14.03% | 1-2 @ 2.95% ( 0.27) 0-1 @ 2.15% ( 0.25)2-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.1)Other @ 1.54% Total : 9.97% |
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