SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 51.11%. A win for Spartans had a probability of 25.48% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.26%) and 0-2 (8.19%). The likeliest Spartans win was 2-1 (6.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Falkirk in this match.
| Result | ||
| Spartans | Draw | Falkirk |
25.48% ( 4.52) | 23.41% ( 1.01) | 51.11% ( -5.53) |
| Both teams to score 57.48% ( 2.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.52% ( 0.39) | 43.48% ( -0.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.12% ( 0.38) | 65.87% ( -0.38) |
| Spartans Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.31% ( 4.18) | 30.68% ( -4.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.06% ( 4.67) | 66.94% ( -4.67) |
| Falkirk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.92% ( -1.79) | 17.08% ( 1.79) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.73% ( -3.26) | 47.26% ( 3.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Spartans | Draw | Falkirk |
| 2-1 @ 6.46% ( 0.91) 1-0 @ 6.19% ( 0.58)2-0 @ 3.66% ( 0.7)3-1 @ 2.55% ( 0.59)3-2 @ 2.25% ( 0.42)3-0 @ 1.44% ( 0.4)Other @ 2.94% Total : 25.48% | 1-1 @ 10.94% ( 0.4) 2-2 @ 5.71% ( 0.49)0-0 @ 5.24% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.18)Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.41% | 1-2 @ 9.67% ( -0.24) 0-1 @ 9.26% ( -0.75)0-2 @ 8.19% ( -1.22)1-3 @ 5.7% ( -0.51)0-3 @ 4.82% ( -1.06)2-3 @ 3.37% ( 0.1)1-4 @ 2.52% ( -0.4)0-4 @ 2.13% ( -0.63)2-4 @ 1.49% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.98% Total : 51.11% |
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