Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 64.2%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Peterhead had a probability of 15.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.46%) and 1-2 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%), while for a Peterhead win it was 1-0 (4.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.
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