SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen's Park win with a probability of 46.93%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 29.5% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen's Park win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.18%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 1-2 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Queen's Park | Draw | Queen of the South |
46.93% ( 0.41) | 23.56% ( -0.06) | 29.5% ( -0.35) |
| Both teams to score 60.3% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.76% ( 0.1) | 41.24% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.36% ( 0.1) | 63.64% ( -0.1) |
| Queen's Park Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.18% ( 0.2) | 17.81% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.45% ( 0.35) | 48.55% ( -0.35) |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.37% ( -0.18) | 26.63% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.14% ( -0.24) | 61.86% ( 0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Queen's Park | Draw | Queen of the South |
| 2-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 8.18% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 7.06% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 5.37% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 4.06% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 3.55% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.32% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.75% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.53% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.77% Total : 46.94% | 1-1 @ 10.82% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.18% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.74% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.57% Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.56% | 1-2 @ 7.17% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 6.28% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 4.15% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 3.16% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 0.9% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.24% Total : 29.5% |
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