SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 53.7%. A win for Elgin City had a probability of 23.39% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.48%) and 0-2 (8.67%). The likeliest Elgin City win was 2-1 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queen of the South would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Elgin City | Draw | Queen of the South |
23.39% ( -0.02) | 22.9% ( -0.01) | 53.7% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 56.84% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.76% ( 0.02) | 43.24% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.36% ( 0.02) | 65.63% ( -0.03) |
| Elgin City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.71% ( -0.01) | 32.28% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.21% ( -0.01) | 68.79% ( 0) |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.93% ( 0.02) | 16.06% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.56% ( 0.03) | 45.43% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Elgin City | Draw | Queen of the South |
| 2-1 @ 6.06% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 5.86% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 3.31% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.28% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.09% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.25% ( -0)Other @ 2.53% Total : 23.39% | 1-1 @ 10.72% 2-2 @ 5.54% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.19% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.27% ( 0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.9% | 1-2 @ 9.8% ( 0) 0-1 @ 9.48% ( -0)0-2 @ 8.67% ( 0)1-3 @ 5.98% ( 0)0-3 @ 5.29% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.38% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.73% ( 0)0-4 @ 2.42% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.54% ( 0)1-5 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 3.42% Total : 53.7% |
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