Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 60.46%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 20.23% and a draw had a probability of 19.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.3%) and 3-1 (7.26%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 1-2 (5.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
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