SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen's Park win with a probability of 47.66%. A win for Elgin City had a probability of 28.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen's Park win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest Elgin City win was 1-2 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queen's Park would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Queen's Park | Draw | Elgin City |
47.66% ( -0.18) | 24.07% ( 0.04) | 28.27% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 57.66% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.66% ( -0.11) | 44.34% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.29% ( -0.11) | 66.71% ( 0.1) |
| Queen's Park Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.26% ( -0.12) | 18.74% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.89% ( -0.19) | 50.11% ( 0.19) |
| Elgin City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.96% ( 0.03) | 29.04% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.05% ( 0.04) | 64.95% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Queen's Park | Draw | Elgin City |
| 2-1 @ 9.44% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.11% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.63% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.27% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 4.26% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.26% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.21% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.78% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.34% Total : 47.66% | 1-1 @ 11.26% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.83% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.44% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.07% | 1-2 @ 6.97% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.73% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 4.16% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.87% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.4% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.43% Total : 28.27% |
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