SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 43.16%. A win for Rangers had a probability of 33.51% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.05%) and 0-2 (6.01%). The likeliest Rangers win was 2-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Celtic in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Celtic.
| Result | ||
| Rangers | Draw | Celtic |
33.51% ( 0.02) | 23.32% ( 0.01) | 43.16% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 63.23% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.74% ( -0.03) | 38.26% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.46% ( -0.03) | 60.54% ( 0.03) |
| Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.25% ( -0) | 22.75% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.57% ( -0) | 56.43% ( 0) |
| Celtic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.85% ( -0.02) | 18.15% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.88% ( -0.04) | 49.12% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rangers | Draw | Celtic |
| 2-1 @ 7.72% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.11% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4.53% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.81% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.25% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.23% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.41% 4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0)Other @ 3.24% Total : 33.51% | 1-1 @ 10.43% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.59% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.13% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.85% ( -0)Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.32% | 1-2 @ 8.9% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.05% ( 0)0-2 @ 6.01% ( -0)1-3 @ 5.06% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.75% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.42% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.16% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.6% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.46% ( -0)Other @ 3.75% Total : 43.16% |
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