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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 86.43%. A draw had a probability of 9.3% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 4.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.04%) and 4-0 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.36%), while for a Kilmarnock win it was 1-2 (1.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Celtic | Draw | Kilmarnock |
86.43% ( -0.06) | 9.3% ( 0.03) | 4.28% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 45.03% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 73.77% ( 0.04) | 26.23% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 53.49% ( 0.05) | 46.51% ( -0.05) |
| Celtic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.96% | 4.05% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 82.98% ( -0.01) | 17.02% ( 0.01) |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 46.93% ( 0.17) | 53.07% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13.31% ( 0.11) | 86.69% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Celtic | Draw | Kilmarnock |
| 3-0 @ 11.8% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 11.04% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 9.47% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 7.48% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 7% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 6.89% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 6.08% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 6% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 3.85% ( 0.01)6-0 @ 3.25% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.37% ( 0.02)6-1 @ 2.06% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.9% ( 0.01)7-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.01)7-1 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 3.59% Total : 86.41% | 1-1 @ 4.36% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 2.22% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 2.15% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.57% Total : 9.3% | 1-2 @ 1.38% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 1.36% ( 0)Other @ 1.54% Total : 4.28% |
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