SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rangers win with a probability of 69.61%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for St Johnstone had a probability of 11.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rangers win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.77%) and 1-2 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.86%), while for a St Johnstone win it was 1-0 (4.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rangers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| St Johnstone | Draw | Rangers |
11.75% ( 0.19) | 18.64% ( -0.09) | 69.61% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 46.76% ( 0.93) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.56% ( 0.91) | 44.44% ( -0.9) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.19% ( 0.87) | 66.81% ( -0.87) |
| St Johnstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.9% ( 0.91) | 47.1% ( -0.91) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.44% ( 0.68) | 82.56% ( -0.68) |
| Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.39% ( 0.23) | 11.6% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.4% ( 0.5) | 36.59% ( -0.5) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Johnstone | Draw | Rangers |
| 1-0 @ 4.11% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 3.34% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 1.55% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 0.9% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.85% Total : 11.75% | 1-1 @ 8.86% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.47% ( -0.22)2-2 @ 3.59% ( 0.11)Other @ 0.72% Total : 18.64% | 0-2 @ 12.67% ( -0.26) 0-1 @ 11.77% ( -0.35)1-2 @ 9.54% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 9.1% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 6.85% ( 0.1)0-4 @ 4.9% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 3.69% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 2.58% ( 0.1)0-5 @ 2.11% ( 0.02)1-5 @ 1.59% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 1.39% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.4% Total : 69.6% |
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