SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 91.5%. A draw had a probability of 6.3% and a win for Aberdeen had a probability of 2.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (11.66%) and 2-0 (10.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.98%), while for an Aberdeen win it was 0-1 (0.83%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 4-0 win for Celtic in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Celtic.
| Result | ||
| Celtic | Draw | Aberdeen |
91.5% ( -0.78) | 6.26% ( 0.54) | 2.23% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 37.88% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 77.45% ( -1.59) | 22.55% ( 1.59) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 58.35% ( -2.2) | 41.64% ( 2.2) |
| Celtic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 97.25% ( -0.31) | 2.75% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 87.37% ( -1.15) | 12.62% ( 1.14) |
| Aberdeen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 38.95% ( 0.24) | 61.04% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 8.82% ( 0.12) | 91.17% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Celtic | Draw | Aberdeen |
| 3-0 @ 12.98% ( 0.23) 4-0 @ 11.66% ( -0.18)2-0 @ 10.83% ( 0.54)5-0 @ 8.39% ( -0.42)3-1 @ 6.41% ( 0.16)1-0 @ 6.03% ( 0.48)4-1 @ 5.76% ( -0.04)2-1 @ 5.35% ( 0.31)6-0 @ 5.03% ( -0.43)5-1 @ 4.14% ( -0.17)7-0 @ 2.58% ( -0.31)6-1 @ 2.48% ( -0.19)3-2 @ 1.58% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.42% ( 0)7-1 @ 1.27% ( -0.14)8-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.19)5-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.42% Total : 91.49% | 1-1 @ 2.98% ( 0.26) 0-0 @ 1.68% ( 0.19)2-2 @ 1.32% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.29% Total : 6.26% | Other @ 2.23% Total : 2.23% |
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