St Johnstone will be determined to produce a response after suffering a surprise defeat against East Fife, and while we expect them to be tested by a confident East Fife team, we believe that the Scottish Premiership side will do enough to clinch all three points.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Johnstone win with a probability of 47.97%. A win for East Fife had a probability of 26.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Johnstone win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest East Fife win was 0-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that St Johnstone would win this match.
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