SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartans win with a probability of 44.03%. A win for East Fife had a probability of 29.96% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartans win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.99%) and 0-2 (7.81%). The likeliest East Fife win was 1-0 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spartans would win this match.
| Result | ||
| East Fife | Draw | Spartans |
29.96% ( -0.34) | 26.01% ( 0.23) | 44.03% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 52.37% ( -0.91) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.25% ( -1.1) | 51.75% ( 1.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.48% ( -0.96) | 73.52% ( 0.96) |
| East Fife Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.37% ( -0.81) | 31.63% ( 0.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.96% ( -0.94) | 68.04% ( 0.94) |
| Spartans Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.6% ( -0.42) | 23.39% ( 0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.62% ( -0.61) | 57.38% ( 0.62) |
| Score Analysis |
| East Fife | Draw | Spartans |
| 1-0 @ 8.52% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 7.12% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 4.9% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.73% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 1.88% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.82% Total : 29.96% | 1-1 @ 12.37% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 7.4% ( 0.32)2-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.13)3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.01% | 0-1 @ 10.74% ( 0.33) 1-2 @ 8.99% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 7.81% ( 0.15)1-3 @ 4.35% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 3.78% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.1)1-4 @ 1.58% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 1.37% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.98% Total : 44.02% |
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