SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 45.24%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 28.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.02%) and 0-2 (8.29%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 1-0 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that St Johnstone would win this match.
| Result | ||
| St Johnstone | Draw | Greenock Morton |
28.47% ( -0.8) | 26.29% ( 0.2) | 45.24% ( 0.59) |
| Both teams to score 50.67% ( -1.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.45% ( -1.21) | 53.54% ( 1.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.94% ( -1.03) | 75.06% ( 1.02) |
| St Johnstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.32% ( -1.24) | 33.67% ( 1.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.67% ( -1.37) | 70.32% ( 1.36) |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.4% ( -0.24) | 23.59% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.33% ( -0.35) | 57.67% ( 0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Johnstone | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 1-0 @ 8.65% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 6.8% ( -0.19)2-0 @ 4.71% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 2.47% ( -0.15)3-2 @ 1.78% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 1.71% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.37% Total : 28.47% | 1-1 @ 12.48% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 7.94% ( 0.37)2-2 @ 4.91% ( -0.17)Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.28% | 0-1 @ 11.47% ( 0.46) 1-2 @ 9.02% ( -0)0-2 @ 8.29% ( 0.27)1-3 @ 4.34% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 3.99% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.1)1-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.44% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.76% Total : 45.23% |
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