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EC
Scottish League One Playoffs | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
May 11, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Ainslie Park Stadium
EC

Edinburgh
2 - 2
Elgin

Handling (26'), Campbell (88')
Black (69')
FT(HT: 1-2)
McHardy (22', 42')
Coverage of the Scottish League One Playoffs Semi-Finals clash between Edinburgh City and Elgin City.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Edinburgh City win with a probability of 40.77%. A win for Elgin City had a probability of 34.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Edinburgh City win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Elgin City win was 0-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
Edinburgh CityDrawElgin City
40.77%25.17%34.06%
Both teams to score 56.75%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.21%46.79%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.95%69.04%
Edinburgh City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.17%22.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.46%56.54%
Elgin City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.53%26.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.35%61.65%
Score Analysis
    Edinburgh City 40.77%
    Elgin City 34.06%
    Draw 25.16%
Edinburgh CityDrawElgin City
1-0 @ 8.92%
2-1 @ 8.76%
2-0 @ 6.59%
3-1 @ 4.32%
3-0 @ 3.25%
3-2 @ 2.87%
4-1 @ 1.59%
4-0 @ 1.2%
4-2 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 40.77%
1-1 @ 11.86%
0-0 @ 6.04%
2-2 @ 5.82%
3-3 @ 1.27%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.16%
0-1 @ 8.03%
1-2 @ 7.88%
0-2 @ 5.34%
1-3 @ 3.49%
2-3 @ 2.58%
0-3 @ 2.37%
1-4 @ 1.16%
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 34.06%

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