Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Edinburgh City win with a probability of 40.77%. A win for Elgin City had a probability of 34.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Edinburgh City win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Elgin City win was 0-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.