Elgin
0 - 1
Edinburgh

(Edinburgh City win 3-2 on aggregate)

Sopel (39'), Brown (56')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Campbell (45+1')

The Match

Match Report

Josh Campbell slotted home in first-half stoppage-time to earn City a 1-0 away victory over Elgin, while Stranraer and Dumbarton played out a stalemate.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Edinburgh City win with a probability of 40.24%. A win for Elgin City had a probability of 35.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Edinburgh City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.64%) and 0-2 (5.97%). The likeliest Elgin City win was 2-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Edinburgh City would win this match.

Result
Elgin City	Draw	Edinburgh City
35.57%	24.18%	40.24%

Both teams to score 60.59%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.07%

41.93%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.67%

64.33%

Elgin City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.67%

23.33%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.71%

57.28%

Edinburgh City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.03%

20.97%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.27%

53.73%

Score Analysis

Elgin City 35.57%

Edinburgh City 40.24%

Draw 24.18%

Elgin City	Draw	Edinburgh City
2-1 @ 8.09% 1-0 @ 7.12% 2-0 @ 5.18% 3-1 @ 3.93% 3-2 @ 3.07% 3-0 @ 2.51% 4-1 @ 1.43% 4-2 @ 1.12% 4-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.21% Total : 35.57%	1-1 @ 11.12% 2-2 @ 6.32% 0-0 @ 4.89% 3-3 @ 1.6% Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.18%	1-2 @ 8.69% 0-1 @ 7.64% 0-2 @ 5.97% 1-3 @ 4.52% 2-3 @ 3.29% 0-3 @ 3.11% 1-4 @ 1.77% 2-4 @ 1.29% 0-4 @ 1.21% Other @ 2.76% Total : 40.24%