SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Arbroath | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Ayr United | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Cove Rangers | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Airdrieonians | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Alloa Athletic | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Clyde | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 45.82%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Airdrieonians had a probability of 26.25%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.2%) and 2-1 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.91%), while for an Airdrieonians win it was 0-1 (9.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arbroath would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arbroath | Draw | Airdrieonians |
45.82% ( -5.25) | 27.94% ( 0.29) | 26.25% ( 4.96) |
| Both teams to score 44.57% ( 3.76) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.35% ( 2.4) | 60.66% ( -2.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.27% ( 1.77) | 80.73% ( -1.77) |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.51% ( -1.45) | 26.49% ( 1.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.32% ( -1.97) | 61.69% ( 1.97) |
| Airdrieonians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.63% ( 6.19) | 39.37% ( -6.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.93% ( 5.3) | 76.07% ( -5.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arbroath | Draw | Airdrieonians |
| 1-0 @ 13.85% ( -1.94) 2-0 @ 9.2% ( -1.73)2-1 @ 8.58% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.07% ( -0.97)3-1 @ 3.8% ( -0.17)3-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.21)4-0 @ 1.35% ( -0.39)4-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.11)Other @ 1.93% Total : 45.81% | 1-1 @ 12.91% ( 0.5) 0-0 @ 10.43% ( -0.97)2-2 @ 4% ( 0.62)Other @ 0.6% Total : 27.93% | 0-1 @ 9.72% ( 0.75) 1-2 @ 6.02% ( 1.14)0-2 @ 4.53% ( 1.01)1-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.59)0-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.48)2-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.36)Other @ 1.45% Total : 26.25% |
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