Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 36.87%. A win for Airdrieonians had a probability of 36.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.14%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Airdrieonians win was 0-1 (9.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
