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Scottish Championship | Gameweek 27
Apr 30, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Recreation Park
DA

Alloa
1 - 0
Dunfermline

Murray (47')
Grant (60'), Dick (61'), Cameron (75')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 50.34%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 25.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-2 (8.57%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
Alloa AthleticDrawDunfermline Athletic
25.46%24.21%50.34%
Both teams to score 54.78%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.97%47.03%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.73%69.28%
Alloa Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.39%32.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.85%69.15%
Dunfermline Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.29%18.72%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.92%50.08%
Score Analysis
    Alloa Athletic 25.46%
    Dunfermline Athletic 50.33%
    Draw 24.21%
Alloa AthleticDrawDunfermline Athletic
1-0 @ 6.84%
2-1 @ 6.42%
2-0 @ 3.83%
3-1 @ 2.4%
3-2 @ 2.01%
3-0 @ 1.43%
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 25.46%
1-1 @ 11.46%
0-0 @ 6.1%
2-2 @ 5.38%
3-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.21%
0-1 @ 10.22%
1-2 @ 9.6%
0-2 @ 8.57%
1-3 @ 5.36%
0-3 @ 4.79%
2-3 @ 3.01%
1-4 @ 2.25%
0-4 @ 2.01%
2-4 @ 1.26%
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 50.33%

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