Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 51.38%. A win for East Fife had a probability of 25.78% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.47%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest East Fife win was 1-2 (6.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kelty Hearts would win this match.
