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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cove Rangers win with a probability of 48.05%. A win for Annan Athletic had a probability of 28.6% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cove Rangers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.18%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Annan Athletic win was 1-2 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cove Rangers | Draw | Annan Athletic |
48.05% ( 0.22) | 23.35% ( -0.16) | 28.6% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 60.42% ( 0.51) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.19% ( 0.7) | 40.81% ( -0.7) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.8% ( 0.71) | 63.19% ( -0.71) |
| Cove Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.78% ( 0.35) | 17.22% ( -0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.49% ( 0.61) | 47.5% ( -0.61) |
| Annan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.99% ( 0.31) | 27.01% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.63% ( 0.41) | 62.36% ( -0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cove Rangers | Draw | Annan Athletic |
| 2-1 @ 9.42% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.18% ( -0.17)2-0 @ 7.2% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 5.52% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 4.22% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.62% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 2.43% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 1.86% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.59% ( 0.05)Other @ 4.02% Total : 48.05% | 1-1 @ 10.7% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 6.17% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 4.65% ( -0.15)3-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.34% | 1-2 @ 7.01% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.09% ( -0.14)0-2 @ 3.98% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 3.06% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.69% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.03% Total : 28.6% |
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