SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 47.3%. A win for Cove Rangers had a probability of 30.27% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.69%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Cove Rangers win was 1-2 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queen of the South would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Queen of the South | Draw | Cove Rangers |
47.3% ( 0.01) | 22.44% ( 0) | 30.27% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 64.95% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.65% ( -0) | 35.35% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.62% ( -0.01) | 57.38% ( 0.01) |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.58% ( 0) | 15.43% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.74% | 44.26% ( 0) |
| Cove Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.79% ( -0.01) | 23.21% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.89% ( -0.01) | 57.11% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Queen of the South | Draw | Cove Rangers |
| 2-1 @ 9.14% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.69% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.25% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.69% 3-2 @ 4.16% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.9% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.66% 4-2 @ 1.94% 4-0 @ 1.82% ( 0)5-1 @ 0.99% 4-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.12% Total : 47.3% | 1-1 @ 9.78% ( 0) 2-2 @ 6.67% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.58% ( 0)3-3 @ 2.02% Other @ 0.39% Total : 22.44% | 1-2 @ 7.14% 0-1 @ 5.23% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.82% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.48% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.25% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.86% 1-4 @ 1.27% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.19% ( -0)Other @ 3.04% Total : 30.27% |
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